Forbes Analyst: 10 Million iPhones? Good Luck

Taesik Yoon , ananalystover at Forbes , roll off why investors should n’t gleefully pump money into Apple stock betting on theiPhoneto return their investment in gold bullion . A pile of it ’s familiar — high price point , inauspicious fit with the fresh sound market despite its potential growth — but some of it ’s a bit newish .

https://gizmodo.com/analyst-apple-will-release-flash-based-subnotebook-fl-243105

For one , even if it does blow up the impertinent phone market , that market is less than 10 per centum of the total peregrine market , and much of its growth has been spurred , in fact , by cheaper smart phones .

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The other decimal point is that even though the “ new AT&T ” has about 70 million subs , the iPhone ’s only go to grab new or regenerate customers — it does n’t needfully have access to that whole base . Yoon speculates that this exclusivity could be a direction for Apple to draw jealous eyes while working out the kinks , before turn over it out in a broader fashion , much like it did with the original iPod .

no matter , his best point in time , which gets at the real question of how successful the iPhone can or will be , is that “ a product , no matter how promising , can well conk out to live up to expectation if the market place is just not there . ”

Is the market there ? If so , where — between smart and gamey - end phones , or in an all heretofore undefined one in the US ? Can Apple only create the market if it does n’t already exist ?

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