Earthquakes could kill upwards of 3.5 million people this century

This is the kind of statistic we would expect to see decrease over the number years . But as the turn of humanity continue to climb , and as these populations increasingly decoct themselves in tightly packed urban areas , temblor fatalities could get hold of 3.5 million by the end of this C . This is the determination of Tom Holzer , a geologist working with the U.S. Geological Survey in Menlo Park , California . And indeed , it ’s not because earthquakes are pose more frequent or worse , it ’s just that multitude are crowding into earthquake - prone regions .

To reach this conclusion , Holzer and his colleague James Savage analyzed the historical record of earthquakes dating back almost 1,200 years . Armed with this data , they got a sense of what we can expect in the fare 10 . And in fact , the geologist conclude that we can anticipate at least 21 “ ruinous ” earthquake in the twenty-first Century .

Next , the squad calculate at these figures against the backcloth of human population and geographical distribution . Disturbingly , they discovered that 62 % of the world ’s population currently lives in countries with significant risk — nation in which edifice are n’t design to hold earthquake .

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Speaking to OurAmazing Planet , Holzersaid ,

There are place , like along the front of the Himalayas , that are just waiting for another disaster . China , the Middle East and many of the cities in these places just do n’t design to stand firm earthquakes . If we do n’t accost this , we ’re going to see many more cataclysm than we ’ve seen historically , and humanist aid movement are going to be stressed even more over this century . We ’re survive to see more Haiti - type situations .

But the geologist also noted that high - concentration , urban areas are n’t the only danger zones . As the 2005 tsunami show , even sparsely populated areas can be capable to all-encompassing shell devastation and high charge per unit of fatality .

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