Alaska ’s caribou are have got a mo . Last year , for the first prison term since 2003 , the Western Arctic caribou herd — the state ’s largest herd — grew , andby over 50,000 individuals . Meanwhile the Porcupine caribou herd , a close arcsecond in size , reach a record senior high school of 218,000 individuals .

This is good intelligence for the monolithic grazers and the Alaskan Native communities that bet on them . But scientist are n’t all certain why caribou had such a ample year , or whether the vogue will continue — particularly in typeface of ongoing threat from mood variety and Big Oil .

“ Caribou populations fluctuate over clock time and the operose realism is we do n’t have the power to identify all the driving forces behind these fluctuations , ” Alex Hansen , a wildlife biologist at the Alaska Department of Fish and Game involved in tracking the Western Arctic caribou herd , tell Earther .

Argentina’s President Javier Milei (left) and Robert F. Kennedy Jr., holding a chainsaw in a photo posted to Kennedy’s X account on May 27. 2025.

There are about 750,000 hazardous caribou ranging across Alaska ’s treeless tundra . The brute fall into32 recognized herds , which run to migrate together in search of food , and calve in the same area yr after year . Caribou are important grazers of lichens , sedges and small shrub , in addition to provide food for declamatory predators like grizzlies . Caribou are also a key protein beginning for many Alaskan Native communities , whose relationships with specific herds span 1000 of long time .

Today , there ’s grow concern that caribou look experiential threat in the form of mood change — which couldimpact their food suppliesandallow new disease to prosper — and crude oil and gas ontogeny . In December , Congress cleared a legal tract for companies interested in drill in the rock oil - full-bodied coastal plain of the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge , which happens to be correct where the Porcupine caribou herd calves every year .

“ The Porcupine herd is the only one at this point not touched by crude and gasoline evolution , ” Andy Moderow , Alaska Director for the Alaska Wildnerness League , an advocacy radical that defend practise in ANWR , told Earther . “ It ’s in good shape for now and we ’d like to keep it that means . ”

William Duplessie

Moderow pointed to agrowingbodyof researchshowing that when petroleum and gas move in , cariboumove out .

Despite myriad threats , drive to promise the future of Alaska ’s caribou are challenged by the fact that the animals have always gone through cycles of boom and tear . As this year ’s development spurt demonstrates , the reason are often muddy .

According to aerial surveydatareleased last week , the Western Arctic herd grew by over 50,000 animals last twelvemonth , bring up the herd ’s total sizing to 259,000 . ( That ’s still way down from its most recent peak , of nearly half a million individual in 2003 . ) The Porcupine ruck , meanwhile , get to a disc 218,000 individuals last year , grant to data point releasedon Jan. 2 . That herd last top out at 178,000 somebody , in 1989 .

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“ Porcupine reindeer come out to be doing well due to improved grownup natural selection ( based on collared caribou annual survival rates ) and mellow than middling calfskin production ( calving survey are done each bound ) , ” Jason Caikoski , an ADF&G wildlife biologist who tracks the herd , tell Earther . “ The reason for skillful selection and calfskin productiveness is unnamed . ”

One account for the high census numbers , according to Alaska reindeer expert Kyle Joly with the National Park Service , is technological improvements — last year ’s survey was carry using mellow - declaration digital picture taking , a major step up from the “ World War II epoch ” bootleg and white-hot cinema tv camera antecedently used since the seventies . “ Some of it is in all probability due to well-disposed conditions condition , ” Joly added .

Right now , no one can really say whether the latest universe numbers are a signal of a static future . The effects of clime change on caribou are proving especially hard to tease out .

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“ I would say that we do see short term gist on caribou radical related to weather ; however there is too much noise in the system , from both a weather and universe perspective , to identify any recollective - term outcome of climate variety , ” Hansen told Earther , speak of the Western Arctic caribou herd .

Some smaller herds have been less rosy in late geezerhood . The Central Arctic herd , which reached a peak of about 77,000 individuals in 2010 , had recoil to just 22,000 by 2016 , the Associated Pressreported .

Perhaps unsurprisingly , scientist have been at a red ink to explain why .

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